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E-Ticket Capacity Planning: How to Ride the E-Commerce
Growth Curve
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Author
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Dr. Neil Gunther
Performance Dynamics Company
Castro Valley, California
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Abstract
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An 'E' ticket buys you the most thrilling rides at Disneyland. The
astronaut Sally Ride described her first Shuttle launch as better than
an 'E' ticket ride. The rapid growth of the Web and E-commerce
services has all the allure of an 'E' Ticket ride: super-fast growth
with the ever-present danger of exhausting server capacity.
In this tutorial, you will learn:
- How to monitor server capacity metrics
- How to extract the effective SHORT-term consumption of server capacity
- How to predict the effective LONG-term growth rate
- Architectural considerations for application scalability
This tutorial is based on the author's own techniques developed at one
of the hottest websites in the world.
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Who should attend?
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Whether you think you're involved with E-commerce
or not (and you probably are), this tutorial will be valuable if you are
considering any kind of application migration, server consolidation or
server procurement.
The presentation assumes little or no background in performance
analysis or capacity planning but bringing your palmtops or laptops
wouldn't hurt.
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Biography
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Neil Gunther, M.Sc., Ph.D. is a leading industry computer
performance consultant who founded
Performance Dynamics Company
in 1994. Prior to that, Dr. Gunther
held research and management positions at San Jose State
University, JPL (Voyager and Galileo spacecraft), Xerox PARC and
Pyramid Technology. His recent performance and capacity planning
classes have been given to such worldwide organizations as Fedex,
HP, Motorola, and Sun Microsystems.
He is well-known to CMG audiences for his popular, and
illuminating talks since 1993 and to a broader audience at his
Stanford
University classes.
Dr. Gunther is the author of over 100 papers on computer
performance topics, as well as the book THE PRACTICAL PERFORMANCE
ANALYST (now in 2nd printing paperback). In 1996 he was awarded
Best Technical Paper at CMG, and in 1997 was nominated for the
A.A. Michelson Award. Dr. Gunther is a member of the ACM, CMG,
AMS, IEEE and USENIX.
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What is an E-Ticket?
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"In the beginning, instead of purchasing one overall admission ticket
to the Magic Kingdom , guests purchased ticket books. These books
contained lettered tickets for various rides A, B, C, D, and E.
E tickets were for the BEST rides! The lettered tickets have long
since gone away, but the term E-Ticket has always referred to the
premiere attractions at the Magic Kingdom."
From Deb's Unofficial Walt Disney World Information Guide
E-RIDE NIGHTS at the MAGIC KINGDOM FAQ at http://wdwig.com/etik.htm
Last Updated by her on 5/12/00.
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