  I spent a good part of last week working up some simple scenarios for a ten year period concerning transport…  The driver selection and definition process was part of the deep structure of the project,  receiving some 40, 000+  words of concise analysis…  yes,
 concise;  At the end of the day we were looking at the hopeful transition to hydrogen as the long shot,  which many are holding out as THE way to go,  a status quo situation,  and two variations of which one happened on the weekend –  oil prices shot though the roof,
 driven by political instability in Saudi Arabia…  Now,  with a ten year planning horizon,  have we simply failed to look deep enough into the future?  Or did the analysis of the variables/ drivers in the preceding month kick up one of the most high impact and uncertain eventualities,
 that well,  just decided to prove us right in its import,  and right to a degree about its uncertainty –  we had no idea if it would happen two days earlier,  but there it was,  front page news –
 oil prices rise dramatically…  Comments?  Thoughts?  Futures seems so much about the now sometimes,  I wonder why the even call it futures.  How about simply deep now analysis?
 Yeah,  okay,  that sounds to new- agey useless… but…
