  From what I've read,  Moore is being greeted at DemCon04 like the messiah,  his film F9/ 11 the new Bible,  it's presumed effects on the election,  a given.
 So,  I decided to run the numbers and see just how many people could have seen this movie,  in order to gauge the impact it would have if the election were held today.  The average price of a movie ticket in the US is a little over 6 dollars ( although,  since F9/
11 is still first run and in urban areas,  this average could be pushed higher,  but I'll leave it at 6)  I divided the total sales as of last weekend by this figure,  at came up with a bit over 17 million.  While many of these are probably repeat viewers,
 I'll assume that each is a discrete person.  Further,  I'll assume that all are of voting age and are eligible to vote ( again,  not likely,  but this is a 5 minute exercise,
 not a 30 page research paper)  Take that 17 million and compare it to the over 217 million people of voting age in the United States.  That comes out to a bit under 8%  So,  given that in group of voters,  over half of the voting age population doesn't even show up and there is no reason to expect that filmgoers are any more likely to vote than anyone else,
 this means about 8. 5m people that will actually go to the polls have the potential of having seen the film ( once we factor in higher average ticket costs,  repeat viewings,  people coming away from the movie not convinced that Bush is the devil,  those who went to see the movie already committed to voting against Bush and ineligible voters this will go down,
 I believe substantially)  one can see that,  despite the hype and the annointment of Moore,  the numbers are pretty small.  So,  the effect on the election is likely to be on the margins.
 Of course,  in tight elections ( like this one could well be)  those margins can be of critical importance.  So,  does the success of this movie demonstrate a vast anti-
Bush groundswell?  No,  I don't see how anyone can believe that,  given what the numbers.  However,  if it inspires even a few Dems who otherwise would have sat this one out to go to the polls,
 then it could still have a negative effect on the President's chances.  And,  yes,  I have too much time on my hands.
